Predictive Analytics in Public Health: Anticipating Disease Outbreaks

Ivan Mutebi

Department of Pharmacognosy Kampala International University Uganda

Email: ivan.mutebi@studwc.kiu.ac.ug

ABSTRACT

Predictive analytics is an emerging approach in public health that leverages data-driven methodologies, statistical modeling, and machine learning to anticipate and mitigate disease outbreaks. By analyzing historical and real-time data, predictive analytics enables decision-makers to implement proactive measures, allocate resources efficiently, and enhance public health responses. This paper examines the scope of predictive analytics, key data sources, and the various statistical and machine learning models used in outbreak prediction. Additionally, it presents case studies showcasing successful applications and discusses the ethical challenges and limitations of predictive analytics in public health. The study emphasizes the importance of integrating predictive models into public health decision-making while addressing data quality, privacy, and equity concerns.

Keywords: Predictive Analytics, Public Health, Disease Outbreak Prediction, Machine Learning, Statistical Modeling, Health Data Sources.

CITE AS: Ivan Mutebi (2025). Predictive Analytics in Public Health: Anticipating Disease Outbreaks. Research Output Journal of Engineering and Scientific Research 4(1): 43-49. https://doi.org/10.59298/ROJESR/2025/4.1.4349